⚽ FootballData
0 – 2
AHT: 00CSV

18 Jan 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
22.1%
Eastleigh
20.9%
Draw
57.0%
Chesterfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Eastleigh

vs
2.31

Chesterfield

Markets

BTTS68.9%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.0%
2-3
5.0%
0-1
4.9%
1-4
4.1%
0-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).