Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Macclesfield
30.1%
Draw
31.9%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Macclesfield
vs
0.92
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).