Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Bordeaux
19.9%
Draw
57.4%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Bordeaux
vs
2.08
Lille
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-0
5.0%
2-3
4.1%
1-4
3.5%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).