Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Metz
20.3%
Draw
58.2%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Metz
vs
2.00
Lille
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).