Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Fulham
31.5%
Draw
50.6%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Fulham
vs
1.26
Burnley
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.0%
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-0
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).