Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.0%
Ascoli
33.4%
Draw
46.5%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Ascoli
vs
1.17
Genoa
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.583.0%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.528.2%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.2%
0-0
17.0%
1-1
13.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).