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27 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.1%
AC London
25.1%
Draw
45.8%
Salzburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

AC London

vs
1.71

Salzburg

Markets

BTTS61.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).