Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.1%
Hearts
19.3%
Draw
7.7%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Hearts
vs
0.50
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.4%
1-0
15.7%
3-0
11.0%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-0
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).