Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Oviedo
25.7%
Draw
12.2%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Oviedo
vs
0.49
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS30.1%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.6%
2-0
15.3%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
10.0%
3-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-0
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
1.9%
0-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).