Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.1%
Vålerenga
23.3%
Draw
45.5%
Tromsø
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Vålerenga
vs
1.71
Tromsø
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).