Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.7%
Morecambe
20.5%
Draw
63.8%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Morecambe
vs
2.26
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-2
9.3%
0-1
7.5%
1-3
7.4%
0-3
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
1-4
4.2%
0-4
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).