Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.4%
Monza
22.5%
Draw
11.2%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Monza
vs
0.68
Benevento
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
8.3%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).