Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.4%
Sheffield Wednesday
26.5%
Draw
56.0%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
1.61
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
11.8%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).