Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Wigan
25.7%
Draw
20.6%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Wigan
vs
0.73
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).