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AHT: 01CSV

22 Nov 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.0%
Padova
25.1%
Draw
58.9%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Padova

vs
1.78

Venezia

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).