Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Luzern
26.0%
Draw
32.1%
Lugano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Luzern
vs
1.57
Lugano
Markets
BTTS68.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
1-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).