Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Red Star
24.6%
Draw
21.3%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Red Star
vs
0.79
Nancy
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).