Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Tranmere
23.8%
Draw
40.5%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Tranmere
vs
1.51
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).