Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Mansfield
23.8%
Draw
28.7%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Mansfield
vs
1.18
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).