Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Leganes
24.3%
Draw
50.2%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Leganes
vs
1.72
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).