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AHT: 00CSV

29 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.2%
Greuther Furth
24.2%
Draw
22.6%
Ingolstadt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Greuther Furth

vs
1.20

Ingolstadt

Markets

BTTS60.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).