Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Watford
29.3%
Draw
38.3%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Watford
vs
1.30
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).