Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.3%
Curzon Ashton
10.7%
Draw
77.9%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Curzon Ashton
vs
4.08
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS80.9%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.597.9%
Over 2.592.9%
Over 3.583.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-4
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
5.2%
2-3
5.1%
1-5
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-5
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-4
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
3-4
3.0%
3-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).