Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.3%
Ipswich
16.0%
Draw
75.7%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Ipswich
vs
2.73
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
1-3
8.0%
1-1
7.4%
0-1
6.7%
0-4
6.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
0-5
3.5%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).