Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Stevenage
31.0%
Draw
29.0%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Stevenage
vs
0.78
Exeter
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.551.2%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
0-0
16.2%
0-1
14.5%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).