Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.5%
Montpellier
8.1%
Draw
88.5%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
Montpellier
vs
3.17
Aris
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.549.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
13.5%
0-2
12.8%
0-4
10.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
0-5
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
1-4
5.4%
1-1
3.8%
1-5
3.4%
0-0
2.3%
2-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).