Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Perugia
29.1%
Draw
20.4%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Perugia
vs
0.84
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).