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05 Mar 2026 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.3%
Radomiak Radom
22.7%
Draw
19.0%
Arka Gdynia

Expected Goals (xG)

2.05

Radomiak Radom

vs
1.10

Arka Gdynia

Markets

BTTS59.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).