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DHT: 11

15 Oct 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.3%
Hull
23.9%
Draw
60.8%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.65

Hull

vs
1.61

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS38.0%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
2-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).