Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Girona
27.1%
Draw
20.0%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Girona
vs
0.75
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).