Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Falkirk
21.8%
Draw
11.6%
Morton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Falkirk
vs
0.82
Morton
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).