Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.4%
Sassuolo
13.9%
Draw
5.7%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Sassuolo
vs
0.64
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
11.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).