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AHT: 00CSV

19 Mar 2023 · 20:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.0%
Boavista
25.0%
Draw
56.0%
Famalicao

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Boavista

vs
1.51

Famalicao

Markets

BTTS40.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).