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DHT: 01CSV

18 Jul 2020 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.6%
Cagliari
25.7%
Draw
38.7%
Sassuolo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Cagliari

vs
1.36

Sassuolo

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).