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28 Nov 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.3%
Grimsby
30.4%
Draw
16.3%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Grimsby

vs
0.62

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS35.1%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.513.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.9%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).