Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Zaragoza
29.6%
Draw
36.6%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Zaragoza
vs
1.08
Numancia
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
12.1%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).