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DHT: 21CSV

27 Apr 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.5%
Peterboro
18.0%
Draw
18.5%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

2.22

Peterboro

vs
1.10

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
4-1
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
4-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).