Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Farense
37.3%
Draw
31.3%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Farense
vs
0.80
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS31.4%
Over 0.578.8%
Over 1.548.5%
Over 2.521.7%
Over 3.57.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.2%
1-0
15.2%
0-1
15.1%
1-1
13.9%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-0
1.7%
0-3
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).