Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Malaga
26.9%
Draw
36.6%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Malaga
vs
1.24
Elche
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).