Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Cheltenham
25.8%
Draw
47.7%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Cheltenham
vs
1.42
Barnet
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).