Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Lugo
36.8%
Draw
32.8%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Lugo
vs
0.76
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS27.2%
Over 0.577.3%
Over 1.543.4%
Over 2.518.6%
Over 3.56.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.7%
0-1
17.5%
1-0
16.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
0-3
1.7%
3-0
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).