Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Ascoli
32.1%
Draw
22.8%
Vicenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Ascoli
vs
0.80
Vicenza
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
14.2%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).