Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Lechia Gdańsk
19.6%
Draw
21.8%
Motor Lublin
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
Lechia Gdańsk
vs
1.53
Motor Lublin
Markets
BTTS72.7%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.577.0%
Over 3.557.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.5%
1-0
3.8%
4-2
3.4%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).