Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.7%
Frosinone
20.6%
Draw
12.7%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Frosinone
vs
0.87
Crotone
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
4-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).