Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Toulouse
25.7%
Draw
17.3%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Toulouse
vs
0.68
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).