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17 Jul 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.9%
Mirandes
26.5%
Draw
42.5%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Mirandes

vs
1.37

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.1%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).