Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Cremonese
24.2%
Draw
18.3%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Cremonese
vs
0.99
Perugia
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).