Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.3%
Ajaccio
20.8%
Draw
64.8%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Ajaccio
vs
1.77
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
8.1%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
0-4
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).