Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.0%
Pontefract Collieries
15.1%
Draw
12.9%
Redcar Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Pontefract Collieries
vs
1.10
Redcar Athletic
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
1-1
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
4-1
5.5%
4-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
4-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).