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AHT: 21CSV

25 Mar 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.4%
Woking
19.6%
Draw
9.9%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.17

Woking

vs
0.70

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
3-0
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).